© N.Nassibli, 1999
The new oil boom
The relaxation of foreign economic
relations that took place as a result of Gorbachev's perestroika policy created
favourable conditions for foreign companies interested in Azerbaijan oil. In the
late 1980s, the rich, untapped Chirag, Azeri, and Guneshli oil deposits located
in the Caspian Sea bed off Baku received the initial attention of foreign oil
companies. In January 1991, the Azerbaijan government issued a decree soliciting
bids for the exploitation of the three fields, which were treated as three
separate contracts. Amoco won the tender for the Azeri field. Other participants
in the bid were Unocal, McDermott, and a British Petroleum (BP) / Statoil
alliance. At that time, Pennzoil and Ramco were negotiating for the Guneshli
field, and BP / Statoil was bidding for Chirag.
Oil Development Policies of
the New Administration
In June 1991, according to decision of the
Azerbaijan government, and under the leadership of Amoco, a consortium was
formed to exploit the Azeri oil field's deposits. Unocal, BP / Statoil,
McDermott, and Ramco participated in this consortium. In October 1992, a
feasibility study concerning the formulation of the technological and economic
know-how for the project was also completed.
In June 1993, the expansionist
circles in Russia who could not tolerate losing their influence in Azerbaijan
engineered a revolt in the young republic. To placate Russia, Heydar Aliyev, a
new leader of Azerbaijan, promptly stopped all talks with foreign oil companies.
Yet, Aliyev soon began meeting with representatives of the companies, assuring
them that a contract would be signed soon. During this period, SOCAR lost its
authority over the negotiations as a state organization, while another expert
group assumed the task.
The endorsement of the contract on 20
September 1994 brought months of negotiations to an end. A few elements in the
local press call the agreement the "Contract of the Century" in light of the
fact that almost $8 billion were earmarked for investment over 30 years, during
which time 511 million tons of oil were expected to be produced from the three
offshore fields. The contract is based on "production sharing" principles, with
the breakdown of shares as follows: SOCAR, 20 percent; BP, 17 percent; Amoco, 17
percent; LUKoil, 10 percent; Pennzoil, 9.8 percent; Unocal, 9.5 percent;
Statoil, 8.6 percent; McDermott International, 2.4 percent; the Turkish TPAO,
1.7 percent; Ramco, 2 percent; and Delta-Nimir (Saudi Arabia), 1.7 percent;
respectively. In the spring of 1995, SOCAR gave 5 percent of its share to Exxon
and 5 percent to the Turkish TPAO. Exxon and TPAO paid a bonus in the amount of
$173 million and accepted the responsibility of making credit available to SOCAR
for its remaining 10-percent share. Itochu of Japan jointed the consortium by
buying 2.5 percent of American McDermott's share and opening talks with Pennzoil
with the intent of buying 5 percent of its share. According to the contractor's
terms, the Azerbaijan International Operation Company (AIOC) was created in
early 1995 to coordinate the consortium's joint operations.
A comparison between the terms of the
contract before and after the June 1993 uprising demonstrates that as far as
Azerbaijan's interests were concerned, the "Contract of the Century" was a
regression rather than progress. Whereas in earlier negotiations SOCAR retained
a 30 percent share, the highest contract share among all of the participating
companies, Azerbaijan's share of the "Contract of the Century" was only 10
percent. Nevertheless, the contract helped the Aliyev government to not only
stabilize the political situation in the country, but also to finalize a series
of other oil contracts in rapid succession.
The Caspian International Operating
Company (CIOC), formed in November 1995, was the second international consortium
tasked with tapping offshore Azerbaijani oil fields. The project focused on the
Karabakh field, believed to contain 80 to 120 million tons of oil within a
427-square-km area situated 120 km offshore. The investors in this $2-billion,
twenty-five-year consortium include: SOCAR, with a 7.5-percent share; LUKoil,
with 12.5-percent; Agip, with 5 percent; Pennzoil, with 30 percent; and the
Lukoil-Agip joint venture, with 45 percent. All parties agreed to begin with the
exploration tasks immediately after the signing of the agreement. Furthermore, a
three-year timetable was agreed upon for the underrating of geological
exploration.
June 1996 saw the formation of the
third major consortium, which was established to develop the Shah-Deniz site,
covering an 800-square-km area 25 km south of the Absheron Peninsula. The value
of the agreement is estimated at $3 billion to 4$ billion and will be in effect
for thirty years. The partners of this venture are the BP / Statoil alliance,
SOCAR, LUKoil, Elf (France), the National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC), and the
Turkish TPAO. The BP / Statoil alliance holds a controlling 51 percent of the
consortium's shares, TPAO holds a 9-percent stake, and the other participants
own 10 percent each. Shakh-Deniz reserves are believed to include 200 million
tons of condensate gas, 500 billion cubic meters of natural gas, and 100 million
tons of oil.
In December 1996, the Northern Absheron
Operating Company (NAOC) was founded to look into exploring oil and gas reserves
of the Ashrafi and Dan Ulduzu fields, which are situated 30 km northeast of the
Absheron Peninsula. Both fields together provide an estimated 95 to 100 million
tons of oil and 30 to 35 billion cubic meters of gas. The participants in the
consortium were Amoco, Unocal, SOCAR, Itochu, and Delta-Nimir (Saudi Arabia),
each holding a share of 30 percent, 25.5 percent, 20 percent, 20 percent, and
4.5 percent, respectively. Exploration and development of the two fields is
anticipated to require at least $2 billion.
France was the site for signing the
fifth major Azerbaijani oil contract in January 1997, the intent of which was to
explore and develop the Lenkoran Deniz and Talysh Deniz oil fields. The fields,
containing as estimated 80 to 100 million tons of oil jointly, are situated in
the southern portion of the sector of the Caspian belonging to Azerbaijan. The
$2-billion contract was signed between SOCAR and the French companies Elf and
Total. Elf holds a 65-percent share, while SOCAR and total each have a
25-percent and 10-percent share, respectively.
Participants in Azerbaijan's Five
Major Oil Contracts of Percentage of Shares
| Company |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
5th |
| Amoco (U.S.) |
17 |
0 |
0 |
30 |
0 |
| Exxon (U.S.) |
8 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| Pennzoil (U.S.) |
4.8 |
30 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| Unocal (U.S.) |
10 |
0 |
0 |
25.5 |
0 |
| British Petroleum (UK) |
17.1 |
0 |
25.5 |
0 |
0 |
| Ramco (UK) |
2.1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| Statoil (Norway) |
8.6 |
0 |
25.5 |
0 |
0 |
| Itochu (Japan) |
3.9 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
0 |
| LUKoil (Russia) |
10 |
1.5 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
| SOCAR (Azerbaijan) |
10 |
7.5 |
10 |
20 |
25 |
| TPAO (Turkey) |
6.8 |
0 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
| Delta-Nimir (Saudi Arabia) |
1.7 |
0 |
0 |
4.5 |
0 |
| LUKAgip (Russia-Italy) |
0 |
45 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| Agip (Italy) |
0 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
| Elf Aquitaine (France) |
0 |
0 |
10 |
0 |
40 |
| Total (France) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
| OIEC (Iran) |
0 |
0 |
10 |
0 |
10 |
| Deminex (Germany) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
| Total |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
This trend of constituting new
consortium continued with the signing of several other contracts. Three new
contracts amounting to $ 10 billion in investment were signed during President
Aliyev's official visit to the United States in the summer of 1997. Aliyev's
1998 visit to Great Britain witnessed similarly the signing of several
multi-billion dollar oil contracts. Based on official information, the total
commitment for the exploration and development of the oil reserves in Azerbaijan
amounts to nearly $40 billion.